Political Intelligence
Analysis of political actors, power structures, elections, policy and transitions, from national institutions to grassroots dynamics.
Political Intelligence
African Foresight, Research & Investigations Studies
Understanding Africa. Anticipating Tomorrow.
AFRIS is a research, intelligence and strategic advisory institution. We provide rigorous, independent analysis of the political, security and economic forces shaping Africa, so that decision-makers can act with clarity and foresight.
The Institution
Evidence-based intelligence for consequential decisions
Decisions about Africa are too often made on incomplete information, outdated assumptions or analysis produced far from the realities on the ground. AFRIS exists to close that gap.
We combine grounded regional knowledge with structured analytical methods to explain what is happening, why it matters, and what is likely to happen next. Our work supports institutions that need to understand political change, assess security risks and evaluate economic exposure.
Every AFRIS product follows a defined methodology: information is collected from multiple sources, verified, analysed against explicit standards, reviewed by peers and delivered with a clear statement of confidence.
Intelligence Pillars
Three disciplines, one integrated view
Political, security and economic dynamics rarely move in isolation. AFRIS analyses them together.
Security Intelligence
Threat and risk assessment, conflict dynamics, incident analysis and early-warning indicators to anticipate security developments.
Security IntelligenceEconomic Risk Intelligence
Country risk, due diligence and investment risk analysis that accounts for the political and security context of economic decisions.
Economic Risk Intelligence
Core Capabilities
What AFRIS does
Research & Investigations
In-depth research and discreet investigations conducted to rigorous standards of verification.
Political Analysis
Assessment of political actors, institutions, alliances and the trajectories of change.
Security Research
Structured study of threats, armed actors, conflict drivers and their implications.
Biography Profiling
Evidence-based profiles of leaders, decision-makers and other individuals of interest.
Foresight & Early Warning
Scenario development and indicator monitoring to anticipate change before it happens.
Security Training
Practical training that builds analytical and security capability within organisations.
Regional Coverage
Focused where our knowledge is deepest
The Horn of Africa is AFRIS's primary focus. Our regional coverage extends across East Africa, and we plan to expand our work into Central and West Africa.
- Primary focus: Horn of Africa
- Regional coverage: East Africa
- Future expansion: Central and West Africa
Featured Research
Publications and insights
Research reports, policy briefs, security updates and country risk analysis.
Our first publications are in preparation.
AFRIS research reports, briefs and analysis will be published here. Contact us to discuss commissioned research.
Methodology
How we produce intelligence
A disciplined process ensures that every product is reliable, transparent about its confidence and useful to decision-makers.
Multi-source collection
Information gathered from a broad and diverse range of sources.
Verification
Claims tested, corroborated and assessed for reliability.
Structured analysis
Established analytical techniques applied to reduce bias.
Peer review
Findings challenged and reviewed before release.
Actionable reporting
Clear conclusions, stated confidence and practical implications.
Who We Serve
Supporting institutions that shape outcomes in Africa
Request a consultation
Discuss a research assignment, an analytical requirement or a training programme with the AFRIS team.